- BJP can once again emerge as the single largest party by winning 134 seats in Maharashtra.
- If elections are held in Punjab now, then the Aam Aadmi Party can remain in power.
- BJP can easily get majority in Chhattisgarh by winning 48 seats.
Desh Ki Awaaz: The Bharatiya Janata Party may return to power in Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, while its government may continue in Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Himachal Pradesh. All these projections regarding assembly seats were revealed in the India TV-Materise Opinion Poll which was telecast on India TV today.
According to opinion polls, the ruling Trinamool Congress may retain power in West Bengal with a modest majority if the assembly elections are held today, while the TRS in Telangana and the Aam Aadmi Party government in Punjab may also remain in power.
Opinion Poll Estimates for Different States:
According to opinion polls, if elections are held today, in the 200-seat Rajasthan assembly, the BJP could win 148 seats, the Congress could win 42 seats and the ‘others’, including independents, could win 10 seats. In the 2018 elections, BJP had won 73 seats, Congress 99 and others 28. Voting Percentage: If elections are held now, BJP can pass 52 per cent, Congress 31 per cent and other 17 per cent votes. Assembly elections are due in Rajasthan next year.
When asked about the favorite face for the chief minister, Ashok Gehlot was at the forefront with 27 per cent, BJP leader Vasundhara Raje was second with 22 per cent and Union Minister Gajendra Singh Shekhawat came third with 19 per cent. 11 percent people gave their support to Congress leader Sachin Pilot.
When asked about the biggest election issue, 31 per cent people voted for the government’s work, 26 per cent on the Modi factor, 14 per cent on the MLA’s work and 12 per cent on communal polarisation. When asked whether the Kanhaiyalal murder case of Udaipur would have an impact, 69 per cent replied “yes” and 23 per cent replied “no”.
Rajasthan Opinion Poll.
When asked which party he would like to form the government in next year, 57 per cent said BJP while 27 per cent said Congress. When asked in whose name you would vote, 42 per cent said, ‘Modi’s name’. Only 28 per cent spoke of voting ‘in the name of Ashok Gehlot’.
In the 182-seat Gujarat Assembly, BJP can retain power once again by winning 108 seats, while Congress can get 55 seats in the event of elections today, while Aam Aadmi Party accounts for 8 others. 11 seats can go in. In the 2017 assembly elections, BJP had won 99 seats, Congress had won 77 seats and others had 6 seats. Assembly elections are due in Gujarat in December this year. According to the survey, BJP can get 48 per cent votes in Gujarat, 33 per cent for Congress and 16 per cent for AAP.
When asked whether BJP should announce a CM candidate before the election, 38 per cent said ‘no’, 36 per cent said ‘BJP should announce a new face’, and 22 per cent said ‘current CM’. But asked to bet only.
When asked on whose name you would vote, 33 per cent said they would vote ‘in the name of Modi’ while 24 per cent said ‘in the name of the candidate with the best image’.
When asked about the best face for chief minister, only 22 per cent named the current chief minister Bhupendra Patel, while 16 per cent voted for BJP leader Purushottam Rupala and 9 per cent for Congress leader Shaktisinh Gohil. At the same time, 69 percent people said that it would be better if there is ‘any other face’ as CM in the state.
If elections are held today, the BJP may retain power by winning 119 seats in the 230-seat Madhya Pradesh Assembly. At the same time, Congress can get 98 seats and others can get 13 seats. In the 2018 assembly elections, BJP won 109 seats, Congress 114 and others 7 seats. Opinion polls have predicted 44 per cent votes for the BJP and 41 per cent for the Congress.
Madhya Pradesh Opinion Poll.
When asked about the first choice as the chief minister, 38 per cent people took the name of CM Shivraj Singh Chouhan, while 31 per cent chose Kamal Nath.
In the 90-seat Chhattisgarh assembly, BJP can easily secure majority by winning 48 seats while the ruling Congress can win 40 seats. Here other parties can win 2 seats. In the 2018 assembly elections, Congress won 68 seats, BJP 15 and others 7 seats. According to opinion polls, Congress can get 40 per cent and BJP 43 per cent votes.
Chhattisgarh Opinion Poll.
During the survey, 38 percent people said that they would vote in the name of Modi, while 22 percent people said that they would vote in the name of Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel. When asked about the preferred CM face, 29 per cent named state BJP chief Vishnudev Sai, 24 per cent Bhupesh Baghel and 14 per cent supported former CM Raman Singh.
BJP may once again emerge as the single largest party by winning 134 seats in Maharashtra’s 288-seat assembly, while its ally Shiv Sena, led by Eknath Shinde, may win 41 seats and the alliance can easily cross the majority mark. could. NCP may win 44 seats, Uddhav-led Shiv Sena may get 18, Congress 38 and others may get 13. According to opinion polls, BJP can get 34.1 per cent, NCP 19.6 per cent, Congress 16.1 per cent, Shinde’s Shiv Sena 12.6 per cent and Uddhav’s Shiv Sena 9.1 per cent. Maharashtra may go to polls in 2024.
When asked about the preferred face as CM, 38.4 percent named Devendra Fadnavis, 11.3 percent Eknath Shinde, 9.2 percent Sharad Pawar, 8.6 percent Congress leader Prithviraj Chavan and 8.1 percent named Uddhav Thackeray.
52 per cent people said that they want to see the BJP-Eknath Shinde Sena government in 2024, while 32 per cent voted in favor of the Congress-NCP government. 52 per cent people said that they would vote in the name of Modi while 32 per cent people said that they would vote in the name of Sharad Pawar. 56 per cent people called the party led by Uddhav as the real Shiv Sena while 44 per cent said that the party led by Eknath Shinde is the real Shiv Sena.
If elections are held in Punjab now, the Aam Aadmi Party may remain in power but its number of seats may come down. Aam Aadmi Party can win 72 seats, BJP 16, Akali Dal 11, Congress 9 and others in the 117-member assembly. In the assembly elections held this year, Aam Aadmi Party won 92 seats, Congress 18, Akali Dal 3, BJP 2 and Others 2 seats.
When asked whether you want to replace the current government, 46 per cent replied ‘no’, while 41 per cent said ‘yes’. When asked how the Aam Aadmi Party government fared, 32 per cent said they were not happy, 31 per cent said they were happy, 24 per cent said AAP fulfilled its promises while 13 per cent said ‘It was a mistake.’
Yogi Adityanath-led BJP could win 292 seats in the 403-seat UP assembly if elections are held today. At the same time, Samajwadi Party can get 94 seats, Congress one and others 16 seats. In the assembly elections held in March, BJP won 255 seats, Samajwadi Party 111, Congress one, BSP one and others 35. According to opinion polls, BJP can get 44.6 per cent and Samajwadi Party 31.3 per cent votes when elections are held today.
Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll.
In UP, 38 per cent people said ‘popularity of Yogi’ while 26 per cent said to vote on the issue of ‘good governance and ration’. 56 per cent said that ‘the double engine factor plays a decisive role in the vote’ while 38 per cent denied this.
A state in Eastern India
If elections are held today in the 243-seat Bihar Assembly, Rashtriya Janata Dal can get 83 seats while BJP can win 81 seats. Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United) can get 38 seats and Congress 11 seats. Lok Janshakti Party can get one seat, while 29 seats can go in the account of others. According to opinion polls, RJD can get 26.3 per cent, BJP 23.6 per cent, JDU 13.6 per cent and Congress 7.2 per cent. Assembly elections are to be held in Bihar in 2025. In the 2020 assembly elections, RJD won 75 seats, BJP 74, JDU 43, Congress 19, LJP one and others 31.
Bihar Opinion Poll.
39 percent people said that they would vote in the name of Narendra Modi, 28 percent in the name of Nitish Kumar and 22 percent in the name of Tejashwi Yadav. 45 percent people said that they want a BJP-JDU government in the state while 22 percent said that they support RJD-Congress.
When elections were held in Telangana today, Chief Minister K. The Telangana Rashtra Samithi led by Chandrashekhar Rao is likely to remain in power. TRS can win a total of 76 seats out of 117, while BJP can win 21 and Congress 12 seats. Owaisi’s AIMIM can get 7 seats and others can get one seat. According to opinion polls, TRS can get 42 per cent votes, BJP 28 and Congress 23 per cent.
36 per cent people said they would vote on KCR’s performance, while 22 per cent said they would support Modi. As the chief minister’s face, 41.8 per cent chose K. Chandrashekhar Rao, 26.8 percent Congress leader Uttam Kumar Reddy and 21.6 percent BJP leader B. Supported Sanjay Kumar.
In the assembly elections to be held this year, the BJP can retain the power with it. According to opinion polls, BJP can win 47, Congress 17, Aam Aadmi Party one and other 3 seats. According to opinion polls, BJP can get 48 percent, Congress 39 percent and AAP 5 percent.
Chief Minister Jai Ram Thakur is the first choice of the people with 26 per cent votes, while Congress’s Pratibha Singh with 21 per cent, Congress leader Asha Kumari and Union Minister Anurag Thakur with 17-17 per cent voted as the preferred CM face.
In the 294-seat West Bengal Assembly, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee had formed the government with a thumping majority last year, while her party may once again come to power in the event of elections, but its seats may decrease. If elections are held today, TMC can win 173, BJP 112, Congress 2, Left 2 and others 5 seats. According to opinion polls, TMC can get 46 per cent and BJP 41 per cent votes. In the last year’s assembly elections, TMC won 213 seats and BJP 77 seats, while others lost 4 seats. Congress and Left did not get a single seat.
West Bengal Opinion Poll.
As the preferred face for the post of CM, 46 per cent chose Mamata Banerjee, while 24 per cent supported BJP leader Suvendu Adhikari and 20 per cent supported BJP leader Dilip Ghosh.
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